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标题: 房价可能会上涨，请看几篇主流媒体最新的文章 [打印本页]

作者: wwwh 时间: 20-4-2007 19:53
标题: 房价可能会上涨，请看几篇主流媒体最新的文章
Property prices tipped to soar

By Rhiannon Hoyle

www.news.com.au/business/story/0,23636,21574787-37037,00.html

April 18, 2007 02:45am
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THE rich will get even richer this year as the nation approaches another massive property boom, a property expert has tipped.

Michael Yardney - who runs buyers' advocacy service Metropole Property Investment Strategists - says that despite the record low in affordability, there was no doubt the great divide would keep growing, with the more affluent suburbs set to be the strongest performers in 2007.

"I think, looking at the stage of the cycle we are in in SA, this is a year where the rich are going to get richer," Mr Yardney said.

He said Australia was on the cusp of one last momentous real estate boom caused by strong immigration, a lack of land and an increasing proportion of single-person households. As the price climb continued, home ownership levels would also continue to fall, he said.

The Australian Housing and Urban Research Institute has predicted that by 2011, the number of renters across the country will have risen 12 per cent, to 40 per cent of the population.

"Now that is just an amazing figure," Mr Yardney said. The property commentator predicts Adelaide's median house price will be $13.5 million in less than 40 years.

Recent State Government figures peg Adelaide's median house price at $300,000, up from $110,000 in 1996.

He said while such a rise seemed unimaginable, he pointed to countries like the United Kingdom, where house prices were beyond the reach of average people.

[ 本帖最后由 wwwh 于 21-4-2007 10:24 编辑 ]

作者: wwwh 时间: 20-4-2007 19:54
Investors pile into property

April 11, 2007 11:50am

MORE Australians took out a housing loan in February than in the previous month, indicating last year's interest rate rises have done little to curb borrowing, raising the chance of rate hike.

The Australian Bureau of Statistics housing finance report for February released today showed loan commitments for owner occupied housing rose by 0.3 per cent in February, seasonally adjusted, to 62,369.

Total housing finance by value rose 3.3 per cent in February, seasonally adjusted, to $20.852 billion.

The report continues a long run of upbeat data suggesting the central bank may be forced to lift interest rates again to dampen inflation pressures, possibly as early as next month.

The number of first home buyer commitments as a percentage of total owner occupied housing finance commitments fell from 17.7 per cent in January 2007 to 17.5 per cent in February 2007.

The number of fixed-rate loan commitments as a percentage of total owner occupied housing finance commitments dipped 20.5 per cent in January 2007 to 20.4 per cent in February 2007.

Investors lured back

Rising rental yields tempted investors back into the property market.

ANZ head of financial system analysis Paul Braddick said lending to investors drove the firm result for February.

"The number was quite strong, driven by another surge in investor housing loans, and that's consistent with our expectations that investors will be pulled back into the market this year by the dramatic tightening of rental vacancies that we're seeing across most capital cities," he said.

"This is driving rents significantly higher, and therefore improving investor yields."

Investor finance accounted for 8.9 per cent of the total value of loans at $6.594 billion, seasonally adjusted.

However, the value of housing finance for owner occupied housing rose at a much softer pace of 0.9 per cent to $14.257 billion.

Mr Braddick said the owner occupier market was most likely still being impacted my the three interest rate rises in 2006 as well as expectations of more rate rises to come.

[ 本帖最后由 wwwh 于 20-4-2007 18:28 编辑 ]

作者: wwwh 时间: 20-4-2007 19:55
House prices resilient

- surveyBy Nicki Bourlioufas
April 17, 2007 12:28pm

AUSTRALIANS are largely confident that their properties have retained their value over the past year despite rising interest rates and the proportion of people believe their house has lost value has diminished, a survey has revealed.

A survey by NEWS.com.au and Coredata conducted from March 22 to 29 has found almost two in three Australians, or 60 per cent, thought the value of their home had been maintained over the past 12 months.

Just 27 per cent of respondents thought their property had fallen in value, down from 34 per cent in a December survey.

But of those who had seen the value of their property decline, 28 per cent said they held 'negative equity', or that their mortgage was worth more than their home.

That equated to 9 per cent of all borrowers surveyed.

Of those who said their home's value had fallen, 55 per cent said it had reduced their financial security.

Rates on the rise
The central bank raised interest rates three times last year, which kept home prices down in 2006.

Some analysts are forecasting the Reserve Bank of Australia will again raise rates in May.

As interest rates rise, bank repossessions of properties are rising around Australia, particularly in the outer suburban areas of Sydney and Melbourne, as some people fall behind on mortgage repayments.

People who bought at the peak of the property boom in 2003 are also suffering with higher interest rates.

Some real estate analysts expect repossessions to rise over coming months as the rate rises of late last year feed through the financial system and property markets.

House prices gain

According to data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics, house prices across the nation rose 8.3 per cent over the 12 months to December 2006.

House prices rose in all cities, except Sydney, where they fell a modest 0.1 per cent.

Annually, house prices rose in Perth (up 36.9 per cent), Darwin (up 17.6 per cent), Canberra (up 9.2 per cent), Melbourne (up 8.1 per cent), Brisbane (up 7.1 per cent), Hobart (up 7.1 per cent) and Adelaide (up 6.4 per cent), and fell slightly in Sydney.

Most analysts are tipping modest growth in house prices over the year to come, with higher interest rates capping capital gains in all cities.

作者: wwwh 时间: 20-4-2007 19:57
Prices must fall or rates go up

By David Uren
April 12, 2007 12:00am

INTEREST rates will have to rise further if the dip in inflation late last year is not sustained, the International Monetary Fund has warned.

In its twice-yearly global economic outlook, the IMF has sliced Australia's growth prospects but held its forecast that the world economy will grow by 4.9 per cent this year and next.

The onset of drought is expected to result in Australian economic growth of only 2.6 per cent this year, compared with an estimated 3.5 per cent made in September last year. The IMF expects growth to recover to 3.3 per cent next year.

The IMF says there is less chance of a world slump now than there was six months ago, because some of the heat has come out of the oil market and inflation has fallen in most nations.

All eyes on inflation
However, the IMF expects inflation in Australia to remain perilously close to the top of the Reserve Bank's target 2-3 per cent band throughout next year.

Inflation should drop from the oil-pressured 3.5 per cent last year to 2.8 per cent this year but lift to 2.9 per cent next year.

"If inflation does not decline as expected, central banks may still need to tighten monetary policy further,'' the IMF said.

The IMF's major concern on inflation was that there could be another oil-price spiral. It noted that options markets put the chance of the oil price rising from its present level of about $US60 a barrel to $US88 a barrel by the end of the year as one in six.

First-quarter inflation data will be released on April 24 and analysts say the data wil be key to the RBA's next move on interest rates.

The IMF's view that the world economy is likely to ride out the slowdown in US housing markets is likely to influence the Reserve Bank's view on inflation.

Housing rebound

New Australian housing-finance figures show that surging demand for investment housing pushed the total value of housing loans in February up by 3.3 per cent to a record $20.9 billion.

Loans to investors soared by 8.9 per cent to $6.6 billion, only slightly below the level at the peak of the housing boom in 2003.

The growth in housing credit adds to a number of indicators that growth may be more rapid than the IMF or the Reserve Bank has been predicting, including in business confidence and retail sales.

作者: wwwh 时间: 20-4-2007 20:57
澳大利亚未来的趋势也会像欧洲和美国一样，自住房的比例越来越少，租房的人会越来越多。

在澳大利亚还没有成为美国和欧洲的时候，大家是要做些准备的！！

作者: singingbird 时间: 20-4-2007 21:00
如果经济许可的话，相信大家都会投资置业的。中国人的传统就是安居再乐业。

作者: wwwh 时间: 21-4-2007 11:56
随着股票市场的获利减少，将会有更多的投资者被吸引到房产市场。

作者: mite 时间: 21-4-2007 13:56
LZ是AGENT吧, 真在行

多介绍点. 最好不是转贴, 你自己的看法呢

作者: wwwh 时间: 21-4-2007 15:45

原帖由 mite 于 21-4-2007 12:26 发表
LZ是AGENT吧, 真在行

多介绍点. 最好不是转贴, 你自己的看法呢

不敢当!

我只对阿德莱德的市场比较了解，如有兴趣,请留心我的文章《阿德莱德房产形势最新分析》http://www.freeoz.org/forum/viewthread.php?tid=738408。

材料和数据来源于主要媒体，信与不信在你自己。

别像很多人那样，等了房价真的上涨却怪自己没有前后眼！！

[ 本帖最后由 wwwh 于 21-4-2007 14:18 编辑 ]

作者: Sally_Zoe 时间: 21-4-2007 19:08
总体来讲，整个澳洲的房价是上涨的，这无庸置疑，但是Sydney是个例外。现在下跌中，约1％许左右。所以悉尼的朋友不必着急。短期来看，在悉尼投资房市肯定赔钱。

作者: gongxg 时间: 21-4-2007 21:31
是否设个房产业专版?

作者: gaojianli 时间: 21-4-2007 22:14
在阿德买房应该是没错的

作者: singingbird 时间: 21-4-2007 22:19
赔钱这一说还是第一次听说。

原帖由 Sally_Zoe 于 21-4-2007 18:08 发表
总体来讲，整个澳洲的房价是上涨的，这无庸置疑，但是Sydney是个例外。现在下跌中，约1％许左右。所以悉尼的朋友不必着急。短期来看，在悉尼投资房市肯定赔钱。

作者: hap77 时间: 21-4-2007 23:42
做生意不要太着急, 我们都知道你是中介, 不过这里的朋友很多都还在国内, 估计你也做不到他们的生意!

作者: Sally_Zoe 时间: 22-4-2007 00:09

原帖由 singingbird 于 21-4-2007 19:19 发表
赔钱这一说还是第一次听说。

去网上查一下，订一份免费的电子杂志，Home price guide, 每周都有许多有用的信息。

曾经有人买过一套单元房， 2003年价格29晚，2006年年底卖出，价19万。不知道，这算不算赔钱？还有很多例子你稍稍看一下英文报纸都能找到的。

总之，多收集些资料再定夺。这里的市场跟国内不一样的。。。

作者: sbike007 时间: 22-4-2007 00:21
标题: 回复 #15 Sally_Zoe 的帖子
我最近就在看房子，别的地方不知道,SYDNEY的话，凡是那些01－03左右建成的UNIT，现在卖的人都没人赚，陪个10－15％很正常

作者: pal2002 时间: 22-4-2007 00:31
噢，也有跌价的。。。
继续关注。。。

作者: singingbird 时间: 22-4-2007 09:25
可能这里有一个误会。我那句话是针对你“短期来看，在悉尼投资房市肯定赔钱。”而言的。是指从现在开始的市场走势。谁都知道说入市现在是好时机。谁都知道03年之后SYD很多地方的房价是只跌不涨（当然高端市场除外）。而且不带土地权的UNIT等是降得最惨烈的。

原帖由 Sally_Zoe 于 21-4-2007 23:09 发表

去网上查一下，订一份免费的电子杂志，Home price guide, 每周都有许多有用的信息。

曾经有人买过一套单元房， 2003年价格29晚，2006年年底卖出，价19万。不知道，这算不算赔钱？还有很多例子你稍稍看一 ...

[ 本帖最后由 singingbird 于 22-4-2007 08:26 编辑 ]

作者: wwwh 时间: 22-4-2007 12:14

原帖由 Sally_Zoe 于 21-4-2007 22:39 发表

去网上查一下，订一份免费的电子杂志，Home price guide, 每周都有许多有用的信息。

曾经有人买过一套单元房， 2003年价格29晚，2006年年底卖出，价19万。不知道，这算不算赔钱？还有很多例子你稍稍看一 ...

有这等好事，能否提供详细资料，卖给我好了！！

有人资不抵债，有人离婚，有人被不良中介忽悠了，有人付不起房价被银行拍卖等，都会把房子贱卖。

此等好事，只有抓住，绝不客气。

作者: wwwh 时间: 26-4-2007 23:27
澳洲房产投资正是大好时机！！！

自己再顶一下！

作者: erick 时间: 26-4-2007 23:59
MD，wwwh是澳洲无数骗子中的一个，一个房产中介，在这里拿一些狗屁文章（鬼佬中介中鬼佬写的文章）鼓励人们去买房，那我也写一段英文，说澳洲房产会跌，然后贴在网上，也可以，早就看你不爽了，你也是亚太集团的一个小骗子吧，kao!

＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝

警告！如果erick继续使用脏字和不道德的语言对论坛的网友进行辱骂和人身攻击，我将按照论坛的规则，采取必要的处理措施。

tuwh

26/04/2007

作者: wwwh 时间: 27-4-2007 10:14
注意你的情绪，理智和心地善良的人不会说出你的这些没有道德素质的话。

我的转帖，都是采用澳洲主要媒体的文章，有联接可循。www.news.com.au

至于你个人的言行，希望你能够自我克制，有理有据才能服人。

否则就是为泄一己私忿，与泼妇骂街何异。

作者: 晴天 时间: 27-4-2007 10:17

原帖由 wwwh 于 2007年4月26日 22:27 发表
澳洲房产投资正是大好时机！！！

自己再顶一下！

人民的眼睛是雪亮的，这跟LZ狂顶没什么关系。

作者: 青山 时间: 27-4-2007 10:36
楼主从一个侧面发布消息，无可厚非。不过最好亮明自己的身份。
毕竟楼主发这种帖子，是有一定目的性的。

作者: wwwh 时间: 27-4-2007 10:56

原帖由青山于 27-4-2007 09:06 发表
楼主从一个侧面发布消息，无可厚非。不过最好亮明自己的身份。
毕竟楼主发这种帖子，是有一定目的性的。

你自己可以查文章的出处www.news.com.au，然后点击business中的property菜单。

www.news.com.au上的文章主要都来自澳洲主要城市的各大报纸，如AAP，Herald Sun, The Advertiser等。

相信Freeoz的朋友都是希望得到第一手的资讯，而非以讹传讹的小道消息。说话都要有根据，不要随便妄自揣度。

爱屋及乌，本也无可厚非；恨屋及乌，只会偏激固执，可能还会伤及无辜。

你的话让我感到不寒而栗，好像是克格勃在调查身份。

[ 本帖最后由 wwwh 于 27-4-2007 09:28 编辑 ]

作者: mite 时间: 27-4-2007 11:20
LZ的身份他已经亮出了 - 房产投资顾问

所以我对他的文章没有问题
大家读读做为一个说法有什么不好
至于对还是不对自己判断

作者: 青山 时间: 27-4-2007 11:24
事实上，直到有人指出，我一直以为楼主是个普通网友。
当然了，楼主发的这些文章，我认为没什么问题。

原帖由 mite 于 27-4-2007 08:20 发表
LZ的身份他已经亮出了 - 房产投资顾问

所以我对他的文章没有问题
大家读读做为一个说法有什么不好
至于对还是不对自己判断

作者: mite 时间: 27-4-2007 11:43
你没有看他的说明你的问题

当然WWWH能在签名档里再NOTE一下更好

偶个人喜欢读你的文章至少是专业的角度
至于倾向性，靠读者自己多看多听各种渠道自己判断

作者: mite 时间: 27-4-2007 11:47

原帖由 erick 于 26-4-2007 20:59 发表
MD，wwwh是澳洲无数骗子中的一个，一个房产中介，在这里拿一些狗屁文章（鬼佬中介中鬼佬写的文章）鼓励人们去买房，那我也写一段英文，说澳洲房产会跌，然后贴在网上，也可以，早就看你不爽了，你也是亚太集团的 ...

偶的想法 http://www.freeoz.org/forum/view ... &extra=page%3D1

同时建议大家文明讨论乃至争论

作者: 江上往来人 时间: 27-4-2007 16:11
在做这个工作，当然有比一般人多的信息。提供给大家，也是方便了大家。至于骗人与否，相信个人自有判断。破口大骂，也有损你的形象。

作者: erick 时间: 27-4-2007 16:37

原帖由 wwwh 于 27-4-2007 07:56 发表

你自己可以查文章的出处www.news.com.au，然后点击business中的property菜单。

www.news.com.au上的文章主要都来自澳洲主要城市的各大报纸，如AAP，Herald Sun, The Advertiser等。

相信Freeoz的朋友 ...

中国的主流媒体还不是和房产商相互勾结，你以为澳洲的媒体都是好人？天下乌鸦一般黑，暗中交易大家心知肚明，哪个文章撰写人的家人，亲戚，朋友如果做房产，帮一下忙是小意思。少拿主流媒体来糊弄人！

骗吧，继续，你到哪里我打哪里。

作者: erick 时间: 27-4-2007 16:41

原帖由 mite 于 27-4-2007 08:47 发表

偶的想法 http://www.freeoz.org/forum/view ... &extra=page%3D1

同时建议大家文明讨论乃至争论

当然，我的话是有点不文明，但是我最痛恨就是这种人，为了达到自己的目的，堂而皇之的拿一些带有明显目的性的所谓文章煽动，鼓动人群。试想，如果澳洲这么多华人中介中，每家都派一个人天天来发所谓的信息，这里还算什么？

作者: erick 时间: 27-4-2007 16:45

原帖由青山于 27-4-2007 07:36 发表
楼主从一个侧面发布消息，无可厚非。不过最好亮明自己的身份。
毕竟楼主发这种帖子，是有一定目的性的。

青山果然客观。这个人来freeoz的目的不是为了结交朋友，不是为了把freeoz发扬光大，而是把这里当作纯粹的广告发布平台，为了自己谋利益的场所，我才是真正的不寒而栗！

作者: singingbird 时间: 27-4-2007 16:58
LZ不过是从自己专业的角度选择性地贴了些文章，倾向性/观点表现在文章里。坛子里的各位，大家姑妄听之。谁有不同意见都可以表达，不过还是文明、友好点才是。

作者: 青山 时间: 27-4-2007 17:03
大家都冷静一点，楼主已经亮明了身份，大家可以作为一面之词，姑且听之。

作者: erick 时间: 27-4-2007 17:06

原帖由 singingbird 于 27-4-2007 13:58 发表
LZ不过是从自己专业的角度选择性地贴了些文章，倾向性/观点表现在文章里。坛子里的各位，大家姑妄听之。谁有不同意见都可以表达，不过还是文明、友好点才是。

他以前也发过很多关于阿德来的房产多么多么好的文章，他自己也是阿德来的中介，这说明什么？为了自己的利益罢了。当然斑竹你说的对，我会文明发表看法的。

当然，对待豺狼没有比要弹钢琴给它听.

作者: singingbird 时间: 27-4-2007 17:07
标题: 回复 #37 erick 的帖子
谢谢！

作者: erick 时间: 27-4-2007 17:09

原帖由青山于 27-4-2007 14:03 发表
大家都冷静一点，楼主已经亮明了身份，大家可以作为一面之词，姑且听之。

收到！

作者: erick 时间: 27-4-2007 17:10

原帖由 singingbird 于 27-4-2007 14:07 发表
谢谢！

‘
不谢

作者: 绅士 时间: 27-4-2007 18:03
明眼人一看就知道有人哄抬物价，此人估计生意不会太好，否则不会有太多时间在这里转贴

作者: 晴天 时间: 27-4-2007 18:19
erick不要火气这么大，贴什么样的帖子是他的自由，看不看，信不信是你的自由，你不信他再说也是白搭，你在这里大声疾呼不要上当其实没什么用的，要上当的人早晚要上当，大家管好自己就是了。

作者: mite 时间: 27-4-2007 18:19
当然斑竹你说的对，我会文明发表看法的。

----》

谢谢

作者: noth 时间: 27-4-2007 21:36
LZ的确是亚太的人,他之前在某个帖子里承认过.

作者: lh2004 时间: 27-4-2007 22:15
LZ一看就是卖房子的了。。。。

作者: 晴天 时间: 28-4-2007 12:31
卖房的这么猴急，对于买房的是个好消息啊。

作者: mite 时间: 28-4-2007 17:18
我的观点: 这个论坛需要有专业水平的中介应该欢迎.
有不同看法摆事实讲道理不要拿对方是中介这个说事情
澳洲这个社会没有中介当然是专业的你什么都做不了 .

( 同时建议中介朋友在签名档上有所说明只是个人建议而已 )

作者: Energy 时间: 28-4-2007 18:44
房价肯定升的，只是工资也一直在升，房价的升幅已经减慢了

很多“房地产业”人士为了自己的利益写的文章不需要尽信，大家都相信的并且开始行动的话，房价就真的升了

作者: 919 时间: 28-4-2007 19:12
很能理解有人对中介的态度，毕竟这一行当在国内已经烂了，看看国内的业主论坛，搜一搜大家对中介的讨论就知道了。楼主也深知这一点，做得比较隐讳，但是算光明正大，因为他亮了身份，而且用澳洲英文媒体的文章做证，所以无可非议，大家都要吃饭吗，楼主做成一笔生意我们也为之高兴。只不过楼主劝大家快买有些操之过急，来阿得的495居多，没有多少人有能力或有胆量买房，投资移民不在乎房价一时之高低反正都要买，老的粤语移民都有房了，所以华人圈的房产生意客户有限。我在楼主的另一帖子里与之有些杯葛，没想到楼主的这篇反驳贴引来这么多议论，其实楼主的别的一些扫盲贴还是很有用的，应该表示感谢。这些文章确实都是主流媒体上的，很多我都读过，而且我还可以继续提供这样的文章，如最近的Au Financial Review连续说大家买不起房，只好租房；婴儿潮一代的人替子女付了首付，无奈子女还不起月供；中产阶级（50－80k）为住房发愁等等。总之澳洲的房市整体确实在走高，比如阿得的unit卖20万以前谁能想到，70年代港人来时大house才卖十万，悉尼已经出现明显的住房两极分化，说明这个社会也有它的问题，政府怎么利用市场和公共福利来消减社会的不平就是我们所期待的，政府一定要做，否则选票就会跑了。至于买不买房，没法说，就看北京房价，易宪容和任志强谁说得对？反正你马上就得有套房，管他谁对呢。你反正也不急着买，爱谁对谁对。

作者: erick 时间: 29-4-2007 00:28

原帖由 919 于 28-4-2007 18:12 发表
很能理解有人对中介的态度，毕竟这一行当在国内已经烂了，看看国内的业主论坛，搜一搜大家对中介的讨论就知道了。楼主也深知这一点，做得比较隐讳，但是算光明正大，因为他亮了身份，而且用澳洲英文媒体的文章做 ...

大哥你才是真正的专业人士阿！内涵很深，我很佩服，说的也很有道理！

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